Basketball

BetMGM Basketball: Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions – NBA, March 4

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By BetMGM Staff Writer /

● The Bucks (36-24) are -4.5 favorites against the Bulls (39-21)

● Total (Over/Under): 240.5 points

● Friday, March 4, 2022 at 7:30 p.m. EST

● Watch the game on NBCS-CHI & BSWI

The Milwaukee Bucks travel to the United Center to face the Chicago Bulls on Friday. Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. EST in Chicago.

the Dollars are betting favorites in this NBA game, with a gap of -4.5 (-110).

So far this NBA season, the Bucks are 27-36 ATS, while the Bulls are 37-26 ATS.

The Bucks vs. Bulls Over/Under total 240.5 points for the game.

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Bucks vs. Bulls Odds, Over/Under & Moneyline

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More less

Moneyline

Milwaukee dollars

-4.5 -110

O 240.5 -115

-190

Chicago Bulls

+4.5 -110

U 240.5 -115

155

Milwaukee Bucks Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bucks are gone:

27-36 against the propagated (-12.6 Units / -18.18% ROI)

38-25 against the Moneyline (-24.5 Units / -10.6% ROI)

32-31 against the More than for total game points (-2.1 units / -3.03% ROI)

31-32 against the Under for total game points (-4.2 units / -6.06% ROI)

Positive value trends over the gap for dollars, ranked by units earned:

● The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 39 of their last 60 games (+17.05 Units / 26% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have covered 3Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 29 away games (+13.40 Units / 42% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1H Moneyline in 43 of their last 61 games (+12.98 Units / 9% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 1Q spread in 30 of their last 48 games (+12.25 units / 23% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have covered the 2Q spread in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.44 units / 15% ROI)

Negative value trends relative to the gap for dollars, ranked by units lost:

● The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the Moneyline in 13 of their last 25 games (-31.60 Units / -33% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 4Q Game Total Over in 20 of their last 60 games (-23.13 Units / -35% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q spread in 22 of their last 62 games (-22.43 units / -33% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 2H Moneyline in 29 of their last 58 games (-20.84 Units / -19% ROI)

● The Milwaukee Bucks have only covered the 3Q Game Total Under in 18 of their last 53 games (-17.15 Units / -29% ROI)

Chicago Bulls Against the Spread (ATS) Record, Historical Betting Trends:

Against the spread this NBA season, the Bulls are gone:

37-26 against the propagated (+8.4 Units / 12.13% ROI)

39-24 against the Moneyline (+10.9 Units / 8.88% ROI)

33-28 against the More than for total game points (+2.2 Units / 3.17% ROI)

28-33 against the Under for total game points (-8.3 units / -11.98% ROI)

Positive value trends against the gap for bulls, ranked by units gained:

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the 2Q spread in 32 of their last 50 games (+15.55 units / 28% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the 3Q Game Total Over in 25 of their last 35 games (+14.95 Units / 39% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the Moneyline in 24 of their last 33 home games (+14.10 Units / 18% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the 4Q Game Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.90 Units / 18% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the Spread in 22 of their last 33 home games (+9.90 Units / 27% ROI)

Negative value trends against the spread for bulls, ranked by units lost:

● The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 3Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 35 games (-18.56 Units / -48% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 1Q spread in 16 of their last 46 games (-16.80 units / -34% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have only covered the 4Q Game Total Under in 21 of their last 55 games (-16.34 Units / -27% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have covered the Total Under team in only 21 of their last 54 games (-16.29 Units / -27% ROI)

● The Chicago Bulls have covered Game Total Under in only 17 of their last 45 games (-11.60 Units / -23% ROI)

Milwaukee Bucks: the keys to the game against the Chicago Bulls

The Bucks are 38-4 (.905) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse since the start of the 2020-21 season – 5th best among NBA teams; League average: 0.776

The Bucks are 36-17 (.679) when shooting 80% or better from the free throw line since the start of the 2020-21 season – 4th best among NBA teams; League average: 0.558

The Bucks are 23-10 (.697) when allowing less than 10 second-chance points since the start of the 2020-21 season — 5th best among NBA teams; League average: 0.540

The Bucks are 67-14 (.827) when winning in rebound margin since the start of the 2020-21 season – 5th best among NBA teams; League average: 0.701

Chicago Bulls: the keys to the match against the Milwaukee Bucks

The Bulls are 15-5 (.750) when allowing fewer than 10 second-chance points this season — tied for 4th among NBA teams; League average: 0.524

The Bulls are 17-2 (.895) when forcing an eFG of 50% or worse this season – 4th best among NBA teams; League average: 0.769

The Bulls are 9-5 (.643) when allowing 12 or more offensive rebounds this season – 5th best among NBA teams; League average: 0.514

Injury Report: Bulls vs Bucks – Game Friday March 04

patrick williams (Bulls): There’s a chance Williams will return before the end of the regular season, according to a report from the Chicago Sun-Times.

Alex Caruso (Bulls): The Bulls have announced that Caruso will be reevaluated in 6-8 weeks after undergoing surgery to repair his fractured right wrist.

Lonzo Ball (Bulls): The Bulls have announced that Ball will undergo surgery on his left knee and is expected to return in 6-8 weeks.

Pat Connaughton (Bucks): Connaughton will undergo surgery and should return before the end of the regular season, according to ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski.

George Hill (Bucks): Bucks coach Mike Budenholzer said Hill will miss at least another week.

Lopez Creek (Bucks): The Bucks announced that Lopez was starting to practice, but was a long way from returning to action.

Milwaukee Bucks Offensive Stats and Trends

The Bucks averaged 120.1 points per game (8,649 points/72 games) last season – the best among NBA teams; League average: 111.8

The Bucks have made 14.1 three-pointers per game this season – 4th best among NBA teams; League average: 12.3

The Bucks averaged 59.2 points per game (4,264 points/72 games) in the second half of last season – the best among NBA teams; League average: 54.8

The Bucks shot 48% (1,551/3,213) in the second half last season – 3rd best among NBA teams; League average: 46%

Chicago Bulls Offensive Stats and Trends

The Bulls are shooting 39% from three (502/1,295) this season – the best among NBA teams; League average: 35%

The Bulls have 18.6 free throw attempts per game since the start of the 2020-21 season – the lowest among NBA teams; League average: 21.4

The Bulls are shooting 40% from three (258/641) in the first half this season – the best among NBA teams; League average: 35%

The Bulls are averaging 0.55 points per possession (4,780 points / 9,111 possessions) this season – the best among NBA teams; League average: 0.52

Milwaukee Bucks defensive stats and trends

The Bucks averaged 37.8 defensive rebounds per game (2,724 rebounds/72 games) last season – the best among NBA teams; League average: 34.4

The Bucks are averaging 37.1 defensive rebounds per game (4,893 rebounds/132 games) since the start of the 2020-21 season — the best among NBA teams; League average: 34.3

The Bucks are averaging 36.2 defensive rebounds per game (2,169 rebounds/60 games) this season — the best among NBA teams; League average: 34.2

The Bucks are averaging 4.1 blocks per game (244 blocks/60 games) this season – tied for 3rd among NBA teams; League average: 4.8

Chicago Bulls defensive stats and trends

The Bulls averaged 6.7 steals per game (482 steals / 72 games) last season – 4th lowest among NBA teams; League average: 7.5

The Bulls have averaged 4.3 blocks per game (247 blocks / 58 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season – tied for 4th among NBA teams; League Average: 5.0

The Bulls averaged 4.2 blocks per game (304 blocks/72 games) last season – 4th lowest among NBA teams; League average: 4.9

The Bulls have averaged 6.7 steals per game (390 steals/58 games) at home since the start of the 2020-21 season – 3rd lowest among NBA teams; League average: 7.6

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